Races to Watch: The Possible Firsts of Election Night 2026

4 min read · 878 words
The U.S. Capitol. Photo: Architect of the Capitol, public domain.
The U.S. Capitol. Photo: Architect of the Capitol, public domain.

Tuesday night could rewrite several lines in the record books. Since Reconstruction, only a handful of Black Americans have served as governor, and no Black woman ever has. On November 3, 2026, that could change in more than one state at once. Here is a short fact sheet of the races where history is on the ballot, with links to our full coverage.

The Fact Sheet

Races to Watch: seven contests where history is on the ballot on November 3, 2026. HistorianSpeaks chart.
Races to Watch: seven contests where history is on the ballot on November 3, 2026. HistorianSpeaks chart.
Save infographicOn iPhone: tap, then press and hold the image to save it to Photos.

Georgia: The Glass Ceiling No Black Woman Has Broken

Eight Black candidates for governor in 2026: Keisha Lance Bottoms of Georgia, David Crowley of Wisconsin, Byron Donalds of Florida, Lisa Demuth of Minnesota, Aaron Ford of Nevada, John James of Michigan, Jermaine Johnson of South Carolina and Wes Moore of Maryland. Image: The Voice, communityvoiceks.com.
Eight Black candidates for governor in 2026: Keisha Lance Bottoms of Georgia, David Crowley of Wisconsin, Byron Donalds of Florida, Lisa Demuth of Minnesota, Aaron Ford of Nevada, John James of Michigan, Jermaine Johnson of South Carolina and Wes Moore of Maryland. Image: The Voice, communityvoiceks.com.

No Black woman has ever served as governor of any state. Keisha Lance Bottoms, the former mayor of Atlanta, is the Democratic nominee in Georgia, the state where Stacey Abrams came within reach in 2018. Her result will turn on turnout in metro Atlanta and the Black Belt counties of middle and south Georgia.

Wisconsin and Nevada: Two States, Two Firsts

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley would be the first Black governor in Wisconsin history. His path runs through Milwaukee, where Black turnout has decided statewide races before. In Nevada, Attorney General Aaron Ford would be the state's first Black governor, leaning on a labor-backed coalition in Las Vegas and Reno.

Our earlier preview, Eight Names, One Short List, profiles the full field of Black nominees for governor.

Florida: The Donalds Question

Andrew Gillum at a 2018 campaign rally, the year he came within about 32,000 votes of the governorship. Image found online; photographer unknown.
Andrew Gillum at a 2018 campaign rally, the year he came within about 32,000 votes of the governorship. Image found online; photographer unknown.

Rep. Byron Donalds is the Republican nominee for governor. The open question is whether a Black conservative can carry the white rural counties of North and Central Florida that delivered for Ron DeSantis. If Donalds falls short there, the result will invite comparison with 2018, when Andrew Gillum lost by about 32,000 votes. We told that story in What Could Have Been.

Florida's Historic Capitol and the current State Capitol, Tallahassee. Photo: Michael Rivera, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0.
Florida's Historic Capitol and the current State Capitol, Tallahassee. Photo: Michael Rivera, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0.

A win for Democrat David Jolly would carry a second meaning. Florida has led the national campaign against diversity programs and the teaching of Black history, which we documented in Erasing the Lesson. A new governor could slow or reverse that campaign.

Texas: The Talarico Factor

Run Sister Run founders Tonya Ly, left, and Nicole M. DeLoach, whose Houston PAC has spent the fall building turnout. Photo: Run Sister Run PAC.
Run Sister Run founders Tonya Ly, left, and Nicole M. DeLoach, whose Houston PAC has spent the fall building turnout. Photo: Run Sister Run PAC.

No Democrat has won a Senate race in Texas since Lloyd Bentsen in 1988. State Rep. James Talarico is trying to end that streak. Black voters in Harris, Dallas, Fort Bend and Tarrant counties and in East Texas will help decide whether he can. Grassroots groups like Houston's Run Sister Run have spent the fall building that turnout.

The Speaker's Chair

House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York. Official portrait, U.S. House of Representatives, public domain.
House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York. Official portrait, U.S. House of Representatives, public domain.

If Democrats win the House, Hakeem Jeffries would become the first Black Speaker in American history, 152 years after the first Black members took their seats in Reconstruction. The road to that chair runs through the Congressional Black Caucus, whose early strategy was shaped by scholars and staff like Augustus "Gus" Adair.

The Senate Slate

Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois, the first Black woman elected to the U.S. Senate, in 1992. Photo: U.S. Senate, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.
Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois, the first Black woman elected to the U.S. Senate, in 1992. Photo: U.S. Senate, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.

Only five Black women have ever served in the U.S. Senate. This year Juliana Stratton (Illinois), Marquita Bradshaw (Tennessee), Nikyla Thomas (Oklahoma), Angie Nixon (Florida) and Catherine Fleming Bruce (South Carolina, write-in) are on the ballot. See Five for the Senate, our interview with Catherine Fleming Bruce and our profile of Angie Nixon.

Where to Watch

Election Day, painted in the spirit of Jacob Lawrence. HistorianSpeaks illustration.
Election Day, painted in the spirit of Jacob Lawrence. HistorianSpeaks illustration.

Our Election Night Watch page gathers live streams, results pages for eight cities and the Election Protection hotline, 866-OUR-VOTE. History is being written in real time. Become a founding member of Black Thread for $9.99 a month, for life, and read what these results mean as they come in. Join here.

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"Races to Watch: The Possible Firsts of Election Night 2026." Historianspeaks, October 31, 2026. https://historianspeaks.org/blog/races-to-watch-historic-firsts-2026.

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